{"label_es":"Emigración interdepartamental (5 años) y exposición climática del departamento de origen","outcome":"mig5_cross","years":[2019,2020,2021,2022,2023],"unit":"pp","specs":{"dry":{"exposure":"dry_years_o","label":"Años secos en origen (t−5..t−1, por año adicional)","raw":{"v":-0.34,"se":0.049,"lo":-0.44,"hi":-0.25,"n":539152,"g":"A"},"adj":{"v":-0.09,"se":0.144,"lo":-0.37,"hi":0.19,"n":539058,"g":"A"},"adj_cluster_orig":{"v":-0.09,"se":1.435,"lo":-2.9,"hi":2.72,"n":539058,"g":"A"},"n":539058,"r2":0.0063,"n_psu":26795,"n_orig_clusters":25,"terms":[{"id":"dry_years_o","label":"Años secos (origen)","group":"dry_years_o","est":-0.09,"se":0.144,"lo":-0.372,"hi":0.192,"p":0.5314},{"id":"age5_0","label":"5–14 (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-1.194,"se":0.116,"lo":-1.421,"hi":-0.967,"p":0.0},{"id":"age5_2","label":"30–44 (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-0.815,"se":0.107,"lo":-1.025,"hi":-0.604,"p":0.0},{"id":"age5_3","label":"45–64 (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-2.397,"se":0.097,"lo":-2.587,"hi":-2.207,"p":0.0},{"id":"age5_4","label":"65+ (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-2.266,"se":0.125,"lo":-2.511,"hi":-2.021,"p":0.0},{"id":"sex_2","label":"Mujer (vs 1)","group":"sex","est":0.024,"se":0.053,"lo":-0.079,"hi":0.127,"p":0.6433},{"id":"educ4_2","label":"Secundaria (vs Hasta primaria)","group":"educ4","est":0.111,"se":0.077,"lo":-0.039,"hi":0.261,"p":0.1456},{"id":"educ4_3","label":"Superior no univ. 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(vs Hasta primaria)","group":"educ4","est":0.554,"se":0.125,"lo":0.309,"hi":0.799,"p":0.0},{"id":"educ4_4","label":"Universitaria (vs Hasta primaria)","group":"educ4","est":0.228,"se":0.129,"lo":-0.025,"hi":0.481,"p":0.0771},{"id":"area_2","label":"Rural (vs 1)","group":"area","est":-0.702,"se":0.097,"lo":-0.893,"hi":-0.512,"p":0.0},{"id":"region_nat_1","label":"Costa (vs Lima Metropolitana)","group":"region_nat","est":0.057,"se":0.18,"lo":-0.296,"hi":0.41,"p":0.7519},{"id":"region_nat_2","label":"Sierra (vs Lima Metropolitana)","group":"region_nat","est":0.485,"se":0.178,"lo":0.136,"hi":0.834,"p":0.0065},{"id":"region_nat_3","label":"Selva (vs Lima Metropolitana)","group":"region_nat","est":2.097,"se":0.208,"lo":1.689,"hi":2.506,"p":0.0},{"id":"year_c_2020","label":"2020 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":-0.151,"se":0.137,"lo":-0.42,"hi":0.119,"p":0.2728},{"id":"year_c_2021","label":"2021 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":0.835,"se":0.186,"lo":0.47,"hi":1.2,"p":0.0},{"id":"year_c_2022","label":"2022 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":0.901,"se":0.198,"lo":0.514,"hi":1.289,"p":0.0},{"id":"year_c_2023","label":"2023 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":0.827,"se":0.167,"lo":0.499,"hi":1.155,"p":0.0}]},"precip":{"exposure":"precip_anom_o","label":"Anomalía de lluvia en origen (por +100 mm)","raw":{"v":3.59,"se":0.515,"lo":2.58,"hi":4.6,"n":539152,"g":"A"},"adj":{"v":1.24,"se":0.929,"lo":-0.58,"hi":3.06,"n":539058,"g":"A"},"adj_cluster_orig":{"v":1.24,"se":8.575,"lo":-15.57,"hi":18.04,"n":539058,"g":"A"},"n":539058,"r2":0.0063,"n_psu":26795,"n_orig_clusters":25,"terms":[{"id":"precip_anom_o","label":"Anomalía de lluvia (origen)","group":"precip_anom_o","est":0.012,"se":0.009,"lo":-0.006,"hi":0.031,"p":0.183},{"id":"age5_0","label":"5–14 (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-1.196,"se":0.116,"lo":-1.422,"hi":-0.97,"p":0.0},{"id":"age5_2","label":"30–44 (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-0.817,"se":0.107,"lo":-1.027,"hi":-0.607,"p":0.0},{"id":"age5_3","label":"45–64 (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-2.398,"se":0.097,"lo":-2.587,"hi":-2.209,"p":0.0},{"id":"age5_4","label":"65+ (vs 15–29)","group":"age5","est":-2.266,"se":0.125,"lo":-2.51,"hi":-2.022,"p":0.0},{"id":"sex_2","label":"Mujer (vs 1)","group":"sex","est":0.025,"se":0.053,"lo":-0.078,"hi":0.128,"p":0.6393},{"id":"educ4_2","label":"Secundaria (vs Hasta primaria)","group":"educ4","est":0.11,"se":0.076,"lo":-0.039,"hi":0.259,"p":0.1491},{"id":"educ4_3","label":"Superior no univ. (vs Hasta primaria)","group":"educ4","est":0.551,"se":0.125,"lo":0.306,"hi":0.795,"p":0.0},{"id":"educ4_4","label":"Universitaria (vs Hasta primaria)","group":"educ4","est":0.23,"se":0.129,"lo":-0.023,"hi":0.482,"p":0.0744},{"id":"area_2","label":"Rural (vs 1)","group":"area","est":-0.652,"se":0.096,"lo":-0.84,"hi":-0.464,"p":0.0},{"id":"region_nat_1","label":"Costa (vs Lima Metropolitana)","group":"region_nat","est":-0.088,"se":0.178,"lo":-0.436,"hi":0.26,"p":0.6204},{"id":"region_nat_2","label":"Sierra (vs Lima Metropolitana)","group":"region_nat","est":0.305,"se":0.152,"lo":0.007,"hi":0.603,"p":0.0447},{"id":"region_nat_3","label":"Selva (vs Lima Metropolitana)","group":"region_nat","est":1.927,"se":0.18,"lo":1.574,"hi":2.279,"p":0.0},{"id":"year_c_2020","label":"2020 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":-0.342,"se":0.122,"lo":-0.582,"hi":-0.102,"p":0.0052},{"id":"year_c_2021","label":"2021 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":0.428,"se":0.152,"lo":0.131,"hi":0.725,"p":0.0048},{"id":"year_c_2022","label":"2022 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":0.402,"se":0.158,"lo":0.093,"hi":0.711,"p":0.0109},{"id":"year_c_2023","label":"2023 (vs 2019)","group":"year_c","est":0.386,"se":0.182,"lo":0.029,"hi":0.743,"p":0.0343}]}},"mean_out_rate":2.42,"note":"Población de 5+ años observada en destino (ENAHO 2019–2023, agrupada; pesos /5). Exposición = media de los 5 años previos en el departamento de origen (para quienes no migraron, el departamento actual). Controles: edad, sexo, educación, área, región natural actual y año. Coeficientes ×100 = puntos porcentuales de probabilidad de haber emigrado. Dos errores estándar: por conglomerado (diseño) y por departamento de origen (25 clusters, conservador). Relación descriptiva."}